Rolo
Yo' Daddy
Cash: $ 309.70
Posts: 1551
Joined: 13 Mar 2005
Location: Colorado/Florida
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I have a six-shooter. I load three bullets into it and spin it. I point it at your head and you see my pulling the trigger....
...Still think 50/50 are good odds?
"Expect me when you see me."
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Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:52 am |
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jlee1224
Full Member
Cash: $ 12.65
Posts: 63
Joined: 26 May 2005
Location: Baltimore
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Obviously not.
Outcome 1: You shoot blank. 1/2 chance. I live.
Outcome 2: You shoot bullet. 1/2 chance. I die.
EV of not you shooting: 100% living.
EV of you shooting: 50% living.
Obviously you not shooting is better. But I do not see the correlation between this and the question before.
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Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:42 pm |
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Rolo
Yo' Daddy
Cash: $ 309.70
Posts: 1551
Joined: 13 Mar 2005
Location: Colorado/Florida
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quote:
Originally posted by jlee1224
I do not see the correlation between this and the question before.
People will see what they want to see in a given context. 50/50 sounds "good" in one context yet "bad" in another when they are identical odds.
It's all emotion. This is why people buy lottery tickets. 
"Expect me when you see me."
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Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:29 am |
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cpj3898
New Member
Cash: $ 0.90
Posts: 4
Joined: 20 Oct 2005
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| No way |
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Take the 8k to your closest financial advisor!
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Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:01 pm |
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mailboy6
Member
Cash: $ 2.10
Posts: 14
Joined: 22 Oct 2005
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Depends on how much I'm risking if you ask me.
Here's a sure bet though...
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Sat Oct 22, 2005 2:20 am |
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paul80424
Contributing Member
Cash: $ 3.55
Posts: 48
Joined: 12 Sep 2005
Location: Littleton, Colorado
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| Full On |
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I risk it! I don't hesitate. Life is short, and I believe in myself. If I don't know the answer. I know I can earn that in my efforts. It's only money, and taking that kind of risk is a adrenaline (don't think I spelled it correct)rush. Life is too much fun to go by easily!
What's the question?
Paul
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Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:40 am |
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Rolo
Yo' Daddy
Cash: $ 309.70
Posts: 1551
Joined: 13 Mar 2005
Location: Colorado/Florida
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| Re: Full On |
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quote:
Originally posted by paul80424
I risk it! I don't hesitate. Life is short, and I believe in myself. If I don't know the answer. I know I can earn that in my efforts. It's only money, and taking that kind of risk is a adrenaline (don't think I spelled it correct)rush. Life is too much fun to go by easily!
What's the question?
Paul
Bahaha...an illustration in recklessness.
"Expect me when you see me."
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Sun Nov 06, 2005 11:36 pm |
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