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2015 Portfolio with ETF

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Money Talk > Investing, Stocks and Bonds

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arik
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Cash: $ 0.85

Posts: 4
Joined: 09 Jan 2015
Location: Canada
2015 Portfolio with ETF  Reply with quote  

Hello everyone,

As many of you I am wondering how to invest this year.
Bill Gross states that 2015 might be bad.

These are my 3 options:

1) DEFENSIVE PORTFOLIO
See here: http://openhedgefund.com/fund_detail?fundid=271

2) MILD PORTFOLIO
See here: http://openhedgefund.com/fund_detail?fundid=272

3) Mixed Zacks 2015 ETF Fund ( from zackz article )
See here: http://openhedgefund.com/fund_detail?fundid=270

Which one do you think it's going to be a good choice?
Do you think that I have to change allocation weights ? expecially on fund 3) ??

thank you
Arik
Post Fri Jan 09, 2015 8:53 pm
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EldonDollar
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Joined: 19 Jan 2015

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Why are those your three options? Is it something
to do with some 401K plan where you are employed?
Post Mon Jan 19, 2015 5:08 am
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arik
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Cash: $ 0.85

Posts: 4
Joined: 09 Jan 2015
Location: Canada
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quote:
Originally posted by EldonDollar
Why are those your three options? Is it something
to do with some 401K plan where you are employed?


Hello EldonDollar,
Nothing to do with my 401K plan.
If you have some other idea please let me know I will backtest them.
What's wrong with these ? please comment, I am open to change my mind!
thank you
Post Mon Jan 19, 2015 8:51 pm
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EldonDollar
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Cash: $ 0.60

Posts: 3
Joined: 19 Jan 2015

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There may be nothing wrong with them. The big problem right now
in my mind is that I believe financial markets are going to be melting
down shortly. I still have a little invested, but it scares me quite a
bit.

The kind of crash I am talking about are things like covered in the
new books:

Hormegeddon
or
The Death of Money

With the sort of crash seen coming it is going to be very hard to
find a safe place.

Giving financial advice on the internet is a losing proposition,
because it really takes years of study to be good at investing,
most professionals are not even good at it.

If you want a quick and fast answer for what to buy now,
the only thing I feel safe with is precious metals. I have 7
percent of my money in them, but I will increase that probably
tomorrow.

About the only funds I am familar enough to recommend in
the precious metal area is these:

CEF: holds actual physical gold and silver, in percents about 70 30.
Actually right now I believe it is selling at a discount yet. Meaning
that each share has more metal than the price of the stock.

GTU holds physical gold only just like CEF above and I believe it
is selling at discount also.

PHYS They also hold physical gold and you can actually exchange
your shares for gold.

One thing to think about is that about 99% of investors eventually
lose money by the time they quit, meaning that they put more
into than they get back. It is quite dangerous financially.
I have been doing it since 1963, and I have seen hundreds
start in, and eventually lose and then quit forever.

On top of that about 99% of professional money managers
don't even do as good as the S&P 500. So you can beat
all of them just by buying the ETF SPY.

The only problem with doing that is that if the market does
go into freefall as I susupect, you won't break even for
a very long time.
Post Mon Jan 19, 2015 11:31 pm
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EldonDollar
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Cash: $ 0.60

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Some more info on these funds:
PHYS on the NYSE
PHY.U on the TSX- Sprott Physical Gold Trust
The Trust was created to invest and hold substantially all of its assets in
physical gold bullion. Its purpose is to provide a secure, convenient and
exchange-traded investment alternative for investors who want to hold
physical gold bullion without the inconvenience that is typical of a direct
investment in physical gold. The Trust does not speculate with regard to
short-term changes in gold prices.

GTU (US)
http://www.gold-trust.com/- this site gives more info, like the Canadian stock symb
selling at 5% discount today

CEF (US)
http://www.centralfund.com/ this site gives more info, like the Canadian stock symbol
selling at 7% discount today

All three of these funds are Canadian. That should be
right up your alley. They trade on the Toronto exchange
as well as the New York exchange. I belive that is a plus
also. I think Canada is in better shape to weather a
financial crisis than the US, but both will have bad
problems in a downturn.
Post Tue Jan 20, 2015 2:44 am
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